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Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
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Crown Green Handicap

S Ellis

Team: Lady MargaretDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

850

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

8

Matches Played

4

Wins

4

Losses

50%

Win Rate

4.8

Avg Win Margin

2.3

Avg Loss Margin

2-2

Home Record

2-2

Away Record

4%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
8 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/25/2026

Only 8 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 8 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

6 May3 Jun26 May4 Aug11 Aug12 Aug18 Aug25 Aug-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
50%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
4.8
score-0.54→contribution-0.14
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
2.3
score+0.96→contribution+0.14
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
50%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Opponent Strength(10%)
819
score-0.20→contribution-0.02
Weighted Score-0.012
Sample Size Confidence
4%(8/41 matches)
Rating997 → shrunk 1000→ adjusted 850
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)850
Recency Blend11% (8 recent matches)
Final Rating850
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

4W4L8 matches·50% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Lady Margaret2026Division 264266.7%
Lady Margarets2025Division 22020%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/25/2026Ray CharnockA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
8/18/2026Neil LynchH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
8/12/2026Eddie HarrisonH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
8/11/2026David HeyesA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
8/4/2026Kevin CorriganH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
5/26/2026Colin JonesA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
6/3/2025Wayne RobinsonH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
5/6/2025Mark SweetA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

2wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WWLWW
Last 1050% win rate↑ improving
WWLWWLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Ray Charnock101100%8/25/2026
Neil Lynch101100%8/18/2026
Eddie Harrison0110%8/12/2026
David Heyes101100%8/11/2026
Kevin Corrigan101100%8/4/2026
Colin Jones0110%5/26/2026
Wayne Robinson0110%6/3/2025
Mark Sweet0110%5/6/2025
Biggest Win
Ray Charnock (+6)8/25/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Mark Sweet (-5)5/6/2025
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
25% → 75%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
8198 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
4-450% win rate
Division 250%
4W·4L·8 played

Debut

May 6, 2025

Latest

Aug 25, 2026

Seasons Active

2 (1.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

4.0 (8 total)

Seasons

20252026